shivam.
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Data Strategy Consultant · Simon Vision Consulting · Oct → Dec 2024

City of Rochester

XGBoostSHAPPythonExplainable AI
62 73%Model accuracy
Per-flagPlain-English reason

The short version

An explainable fraud-detection model for the City of Rochester. XGBoost + SHAP lifted accuracy from 62% to 73%, and every flag ships with a one-line reason, so loan officers can act on it instead of second-guessing it.

The full story

The City of Rochester had a fraud model at 62% accuracy that nobody trusted. When it flagged a case, the loan officers couldn’t tell why, so they second-guessed every decision.

What I built

An explainable fraud-detection model using XGBoost, with SHAP for explainability. Accuracy went from 62% to 73%, but the bigger win was that every flagged case came with a one-line explanation of which features drove the score.

Why it mattered

The officers stopped second-guessing, because they could finally see the evidence. That’s the point I keep coming back to: in production ML, the accuracy lift only matters if the people using it can act on it.

The model supports the humans making the call. It doesn’t replace their judgment, it shows its work so they can trust it.

Stack

Python, XGBoost, SHAP. Delivered through Simon Vision Consulting for the City of Rochester.

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